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Blog
| Should I inspect my home prior to selling?
Selling your home is a decision that will lead to weeks of preparation prior to going on the market. Preparing your home for the market typically includes freshening up interior and exterior paint, enhancing landscaping, cosmetic repairs, carpet cleaning, removing clutter and staging, and general maintenance and cleaning. However, don’t forget to have your home inspected by a licensed professional home inspector and pest inspector.
How do I find an inspector?
Your realtor can recommend a reputable licensed professional home inspector and pest inspector. It’s a good idea to hire an inspector that is reputable and respected in the industry. Like any profession, there are inspectors that don’t do a good job and repairs that may be overlooked can cause problems in the future.
How do I find an inspector?
Your realtor can recommend a reputable licensed professional home inspector and pest inspector. It’s a good idea to hire an inspector that is reputable and respected in the industry. Like any profession, there are inspectors that don’t do a good job and repairs that may be overlooked can cause problems in the future.
How much do inspections cost?
A home inspection depends on the size of the home and prices typically range between $325 - $500 (more if the home is over 5,000 square feet). Prices may vary if the property has a crawl space or is a farm or ranch with additional buildings and structures.
The cost of a pest inspection typically ranges from $200 - $300 and will also vary if the property has a crawl space or is a farm or ranch with additional buildings and structures.
Why should I inspect my home prior to selling?
It’s a good idea to inspect your home prior to selling because you will know what defects need to be repaired. Typically, Section 1 items that are revealed in a pest inspection should be repaired (dry rot, fungus, termites, wood boring beetles, etc.). Section 2 items are informational items (i.e. tile grout is missing or a tub enclosure needs calk, etc.). Various items may be revealed during a home inspection, however, health and safety issues are items that typically should be repaired (electrical, plumbing, trip hazards, water damage, roof leaks, foundation issues, etc.). Repairing these defects makes for a much smoother sale and the buyer will appreciate purchasing a home that does not need expensive repairs. Many sales fall apart because buyers are fearful of purchasing a home that requires a lot of repairs. It makes sense to inspect your home and make necessary repairs prior to selling so that there are no surprises once you receive an offer. Buyers typically have 10-17 days once an offer is accepted to have the home inspected and if your home is given a clean bill of health there is less of a chance of the buyer backing out of the sale.
Should I have other inspections?
A home inspection and pest inspection are usually sufficient. However, if your home inspector reveals a problem with your roof, chimney, electrical system, plumbing, HVAC, etc. you may want to hire a specialist to further inspect the particular issue.
Do I have to disclose the inspections?
Yes, if you hire an inspector or have copies of inspections from a previous transaction you are obligated to disclose the inspections to the buyer (you may be sued if you fail to disclose inspections or known material facts about your home).
What if I can’t afford to make repairs?
Everything is negotiable in a real estate transaction. If the necessary repairs are too expensive you can lower the purchase price of your home to cover the cost of repairs or you can offer to give the buyer a credit from the proceeds of the sale at the close of escrow. You can also sell your property “As Is” and adjust the asking price based on the cost of repairs. Just remember that cool heads in a real estate transaction will prevail. Working with your realtor, the buyer, and the buyer’s realtor to resolve repairs will usually lead to a successful transaction.
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- Doug Hecker 2011
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| Real Estate Market Poised To Spring Forward?
As we approach Spring, and all its glory – warm and sunny weather, flora & fauna, outdoor activities, an occasional rain shower, weddings, graduation, baseball, and traditionally a good time for the real estate market – is our real estate market poised to spring forward?
Over the past year, generally speaking, the real estate market in Petaluma has stabilized (certain market segments have decreased, i.e. distressed sales, while other market segments have gained some slight appreciation, i.e. those who purchased short sales or foreclosures at discounted prices). A question that I am often asked is “when is the market going to get better?” The answer to that question depends on your situation – if you’re a buyer, the market is definitely better because home prices have decreased significantly since the peak of the market in August 2005, thus making homes more affordable, lower property taxes, which are based on the purchase price, the lower the home price the lower the property taxes, and lower interest rates.
Move-up buyers are also taking advantage of lower home prices. Yes, a home in today’s market is quite a bit lower than in 2005, but so is the replacement home that a move-up buyer will purchase once they sell their existing home (if a current homeowner is in a position to hold their real estate and rent it out, hopefully the property will cash flow or break even, then they may reap the rewards in the future if the property appreciates).
Another factor that may help the stability of the real estate market is the potential for a housing shortage. According to Mike Castleman, founder and CEO of Metrostudy, which tracks real-time data of the country’s inventory of new homes, a housing shortage is looming that may soon create a demand for new homes, “Now is the time to buy” he stated. In over 40 cities that Metrostudy covers, nearly 80,000 houses are either vacant and for sale, or under construction — that is less than 25 percent of the new homes in that category during the housing boom in 2006 and way below the level of a decade ago.
“If we had anything like normal levels of buying, those houses would sell in 2½ months,” stated Castleman. “We’d see an incredible shortage. And that’s where we’re heading.”
Castleman believes that the historic drop in new construction mixed with the decline in housing prices is laying the foundation for a recovery in residential real estate. Castleman expects that home buyers will return to the housing market, which may drive up prices in many markets later this year.
While demand remains low for new construction, he expects that to change. He foresees the recovery following a similar path as previous ones: A housing shortage will lead to an increase in demand.
“We’ll get a big surge in demand and the construction companies will take a long time to ramp up, and it will take years to get new lots approved,” he predicts. “Buyers will show up looking for a house in a subdivision, and all the houses will be sold. The builders will tell them it will take six months to deliver a house.” But they’ll want the house so bad that they’ll “bid the prices up.”
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- Doug Hecker 2011
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| Questions to consider when upgrading to a larger home
As many first-time home buyers enjoy the jittery excitement of purchasing a home in the current buyer's market, move-up buyers are also enjoying the experienced excitement of upgrading to a larger home. According to statistics, most first-time buyers live in their first home for no more than five years. Typically, a growing family or growing salary is the motivation for an upgrade to a larger home.
In this market of woes and lows, home buyers are taking advantage of soft home prices and historically low interest rates, which is making home ownership more attractive to many prospective home buyers. First-time home buyers are not alone when it comes to purchasing homes — many current home owners are upgrading to larger homes.
In local markets in the Bay Area, move-up homeowners are making purchases in higher price ranges due to foreclosures, short sales, lower prices, and a slow market where sellers are motivated — resulting in good deals. However, as appealing as it may be to upgrade to a larger home, there are some things to consider before upgrading to a larger home:
Why do you want a larger home?
Yes, a larger home has benefits, but is your decision based solely on "getting a good deal"? If your main motivation is to "get a good deal" on home, it may not be the best reason. However, if your family has outgrown your current home, or if you believe that you would enjoy a better quality of life in a larger home, then it might worth considering making the move. Consider your financial situation too — if your salary has increased, this too may be a good reason to upgrade.
Will your current home sell?
The biggest consideration when upgrading to a larger house is the sale of your current home. How is the market in your neighborhood? How long will it take to sell your home? Are you getting a good enough deal on a larger home to make up for the lower price on your current home? Will your current home produce a down payment large enough for the purchase of your new home? If your current home's value is too low, or if getting loan approval for your newer home depends on selling your current house, you may not even have the option of upgrading to a larger home.
Do you have enough money to upgrade?
You must consider the additional costs before you decide to upgrade to a larger home. Your mortgage payment, property taxes and insurance will increase, and you will have additional costs associated with the sale of your home and moving. You may also need to buy more furniture and make changes to the home. Your utility bills, landscaping and home maintenance will increase too. If the home is a foreclosure or if maintenance has been neglected, there may be additional costs associated with home repairs.
Will you be disappointed if the home doesn’t appreciate?
Be cautious if you are planning on upgrading to a larger home and taking on increased debt. You may believe that a bigger home will create a larger return on your investment, but, even if you buy at the bottom of the market there is no guarantee that your home will appreciate in value at the rate you expect. The real estate market fluctuates, just like other investments and if you are buying a larger home solely as an investment you might be disappointed. Consider upgrading as a purchase, rather than an investment likely to yield big returns.
Should you upgrade to a larger home?
If you can handle the increased debt, and you think that moving into a larger home will improve your quality of life, or if you have outgrown your current home it might be a good time to upgrade. However, make sure you are prepared for increased costs that come with a larger home, and understand that you might end up with a big purchase, rather than a good investment.
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- Doug Hecker 2011
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| Is the "Foreclosure Freeze" just the tip of the iceberg?
Imagine an iceberg the size
of Mount Everest floating in the ocean with just the top
1/3 visible as the remainder of the iceberg is lurking beneath
the ocean's surface. Now imagine the recent nationwide "Foreclosure
Freeze" in comparison to that iceberg - is the "Foreclosure
Freeze" just the tip of the iceberg? Bank of America recently
announced a temporary foreclosure freeze in all 50 states
until the banking giant determines whether or not its foreclosure
procedures are legitimate. Apparently, bank employees were
responsible for the practice of "robo-signing" and moving
forward with the foreclosure process without verifying information
(a robo-signer refers to signing documents without taking
the time to properly review them). And now other banks are
feeling the pressure to follow Bank of America's lead. However,
Wells Fargo, another banking behemoth, has stated that they
will not halt foreclosures to the extent that Bank of America
has, and most banks are doing more targeted foreclosure
freezes. Most homeowners, real estate and banking experts,
industry analysts, real estate investors, and speculators
are pondering the impact of such a large scale "Foreclosure
Freeze." This has created a lot of questions and those involved
in real estate, such as homeowners, buyers, and others directly
impacted by the freeze want answers. Why are the banks halting
foreclosures? If you have ever purchased a home, think back
to the day that you signed loan documents with your escrow
officer - that pile of paperwork seemed overwhelming and
by the time you completed signing you probably felt like
you just finished an autograph signing session. However,
that stack of loan docs is where the problem may have originated.
Basically, banks are having a difficult time proving that
they own some of the mortgages they are attempting to foreclose
on due to a missing document called an "assignment," which
is a document signed by the seller and buyer of the mortgage
confirming the sale. Once the sale was complete, the assignment
document was supposed to be attached to the mortgage documents
and delivered to the new owner. However, during the peak
of the real estate bubble, banks were producing mortgages
in such high volumes that in some cases the assignments
weren't properly executed. The assignments are important
because they prove ownership. For most mortgages, the assignments
probably exist somewhere and it's just a matter of tracking
them down. However, many mortgage companies have been acquired
by larger banks or have gone out of business, which in many
cases makes it difficult to find an assignment document
(if a bank can't prove they own the mortgage, how can they
foreclose on it?). If the problem is simply robo-signers,
banks will probably resume foreclosures in the near future.
However, if the banks cannot find the assignment documents
and prove that they own the mortgages it will affect their
ability to foreclose on a property. How will the "Foreclosure
Freeze" affect the real estate market? Speculators and analysts
have stated that home prices may increase in the short term
as the inventory of low-priced foreclosures are removed
from the market. However, home prices will most likely decrease
once the banks deal with robo-signers, find the assignments
and continue to release foreclosures back on the market.
The "Foreclosure Freeze" may have a negative impact on the
economy if banks scale back lending even more than they
already have. If so, it should be a short-term trend until
the banks solve the problem and are able to prove ownership
of foreclosed properties. Prospective home buyers should
work with a real estate professional to confirm that foreclosed
properties on the market are properly documented to ensure
that your purchase doesn't get delayed or lost in the abyss
of the banking conundrum.
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- Doug Hecker 2010
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| Selling your home in today's market
I am often asked "what's it going to take to sell my home in this market?" My answer: take the advice of your local realtor and live by the rule of the three P's: preparation, price and patience.
Preparation: Much like any profession, i.e. an auto body paint shop, a tax preparer, or a professional athlete, being prepared for the main event is crucial to a successful outcome.
An auto body paint shop will not just paint your car the way you bring it to them off the street - they need to perform hours of preparation prior to your car entering the paint boot. The same rule should apply to your home prior to going on the market for sale. Curb appeal is often overlooked because sellers focus most of their attention on the interior of their home.
A fresh or recently painted exterior is very helpful (please consult your local painter on color choices and remember that your selection should be chosen to please the masses - no cotton candy pink, lime green, baby blue or neon yellow please!).
Nicely manicured landscaping with colorful vegetation is very helpful too. Be sure to keep walkways leading to the front door trimmed - it doesn't help when potential buyers have to fight their way through overgrown landscaping just to make it to the front door. Be sure that your home isn't hidden by overgrown landscaping too. Have your windows cleaned (both interior and exterior sides).
Now that you have curb appeal, you want to keep the momentum going once the buyer steps foot into your home. A clean home free of clutter and personal paraphernalia is key to your success. Freshly painted interior walls (or touched-up walls if your paint is in good condition) is very helpful. If you're going to add color please consult an interior designer or professional painter (I often see interior paint jobs that "glow" or completely clash causing the buyers to run out of the house like they've seen a ghost).
Flooring is also important - if your carpet is dated, stained or worn out it needs to be replaced (or at least professionally cleaned). Hardwood is very appealing but if it needs to be refinished you'll get a good return on your investment.
Repairs are important too - a pest inspection should be performed and Section 1 items need to be repaired (i.e. dry rot, fungus damage, termites, etc.). A home inspection is not a bad idea either. If you can repair the defects it will make the escrow process a lot smoother (buyers prefer to move into a home that does not have a bunch of repairs that need to be made).
Price: Far too many times I hear the same story from my colleagues - "I spent hours researching the market and providing comparable data to my client and they insist that their home is worth more than the price I have suggested!" Your realtor should have physically previewed your competition - not just data from the MLS (Multiple Listing Service). Often times family members, co-workers, friends and neighbors influence sellers regarding pricing strategy, which leads to an overpriced listing. An overpriced home usually ends up selling for less than a home that was priced by your realtor because you end up chasing the market down (pricing your home to sell quickly is key because the longer your home sits on the market the lower it's going to end up selling - if you don't receive an offer in the first 3-4 weeks you should consider adjusting the price). Keep in mind that after three or four weeks on the market your home will begin to lose attraction.
Patience: The average sales cycle is about 100 days (from the time your home goes on the market to the time escrow closes). Please be patient and remember that your home will eventually sell. Gone are the days of buyers following the "For Sale" sign installers around and writing offers on the trunk realtor's cars. If your home has curb appeal, is well maintained and free of repairs, and is priced to sell it will eventually sell.
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- Doug Hecker 2010
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| Take advantage of state and federal home buyer tax credits before it's too late
If you're lucky enough to live in the State of California, enjoying the great climate and geography, diversity and culture, history and charm, arts and entertainment, and landmarks and outdoor activities, you may also be able to add tax credits to the list of fringe benefits of living in California if you purchase a home soon.
With home prices and interest rates at historical lows, fortunate home buyers in California may qualify for a federal tax credit up to $8,000 in addition to the recent state tax credit up to $10,000 (if you time your purchase right over the next few months). However, taking advantage of Uncle Sam's generosity will have to be timed right and not all may qualify.
Many home buyers who plan to be in escrow by April 30, 2010 and close escrow by June 30, 2010 realize they qualify for up to an $8,000 federal home-buyer tax credit.
An eligible taxpayer must purchase, or enter into a binding contract to purchase, a principal residence and close escrow on or before April 30, 2010. However, the tax credit will qualify if a binding purchase contract is signed by April 30, 2010 and escrow closes by June 30, 2010.
Many home buyers may attempt to delay their close of escrow until after April 30, so they can also qualify for the new California home-buyer tax credit, which was signed into law recently. The state credit is worth up to $10,000, spread over three years. Although the chances of taking advantage of both tax credits is relief to many prospective home buyers, timing is key and the amount of buyers who will benefit from both credits may be slim.
To qualify for both the state and federal tax credits you must buy the home as your principle residence, you must be in contract on or before April 30, 2010 and you must close escrow between May 1, 2010 and June 30, 2010, and meet all other requirements. Timing will be tricky, especially if you're in escrow on a foreclosure or short sale, which may not close escrow in the short window of time to take advantage of both tax credits.
Prospective buyers who have already locked in a mortgage rate may lose their rate, or will have to pay an additional fee to extend their rate lock (if they choose to postpone their closing to possibly reap the benefits of both tax credits).
The federal tax credit for first-time home buyers (the IRS defines a first-time home buyer as someone who has not owned a principal residence the past three years prior to the purchase) is equal to 10 percent of the purchase price (up to a maximum of $8,000, as the tax credit applies only to homes priced at $800,000 or less). The tax credit doesn't have to be repaid unless the home is sold or no longer used as the buyer's principle residence within three years after the purchase.
Buyers can claim the federal tax credit when they file their tax return (or amend the prior year's return). This credit is refundable and the entire amount will be paid, even if you have zero federal tax liability or the credit is more than your federal tax.
The credit is also valid for current homeowners buying a replacement principal residence. Eligibility to claim the tax credit states that the buyers must have owned and lived in their previous home for five consecutive years out of the previous eight years. The tax credit is equal to 10 percent of the purchase price (up to a maximum of $6,500 and the tax credit applies only to homes priced at $800,000 or less). The credit is available if the home was purchased between November 7, 2009 - April 30, 2010. However, the tax credit will qualify if a binding purchase contract is signed by April 30, 2010 and escrow closes by June 30, 2010. The income limits are $125,000 for single taxpayers and $225,000 for married couples filing joint tax returns. The tax credit doesn't have to be repaid unless the home is sold or no longer used as the buyer's principle residence within three years after the purchase.
The State of California tax credit is the lesser of 5 percent of the purchase price or $10,000. First-time buyers can purchase a new or existing home but repeat buyers can only purchase a new home that has never been occupied.
The California credit is spread over three years, up to $3,333 per year and it is not refundable. If you owe less than $3,333 in one (or more) of those years, you lose the difference that year. Even if you owed $3,333 before you owned a house, you might owe less due to of all the new tax deductions.
The state credit does not have an income limit or purchase price limit, however, some buyers who fall below the income limits for the federal credit might not owe enough California tax to get the full benefit of the state credit.
To get the California credit, you must close escrow between May 1, 2010 - December 31, 2010, or whenever the money for the program runs out, whichever comes first (the money will probably run out before December 31, 2010).
The state credit for new construction can be reserved if you enter into a contract between May 1, 2010 - December 31, 2010 and close escrow prior to August 1, 2011. If you choose this route, you will not qualify for the federal credit because you entered into a contract after April 30, 2010.
Buyers should consult a well-informed tax advisor and understand both credits.
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- Doug Hecker 2010
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| Extended and Expanded Home
Buyer Tax Credit
Are you still teetering on
the fence whether or not to purchase a home in 2010? Are
home prices going to dip while interest rates rise? Is inventory
going to increase, especially the REO/Foreclosure segment
of the market that we have been hearing about for more than
a year now? We do not know what's in store for the housing
market in 2010, however, The Worker, Homeownership and Business
Assistance Act of 2009, signed into law on Nov. 6, 2009,
extends the first-time homebuyer tax credit and expands
the credit to move-up/repeat home buyers and here's what
you need to know.
The new law states that an eligible taxpayer must purchase,
or enter into a binding contract to purchase, a principal
residence and close escrow on or before April 30, 2010.
However, the tax credit will qualify if a binding purchase
contract is signed by April 30, 2010 and escrow closes by
June 30, 2010. For qualifying purchases in 2010, taxpayers
have the option of claiming the credit on either their 2009
or 2010 tax return. If the home was purchased between January
1, 2009 - November 6, 2009, the income limits are $75,000
for single taxpayers and $150,000 for married couples filing
joint tax returns. If the home was purchased between November
7, 2009 - April 30, 2010, the income limits are $125,000
for single taxpayers and $225,000 for married couples filing
joint tax returns (an increase of $50,000 for single taxpayers
and $75,000 for married couples).
The tax credit for first-time home buyers (the IRS defines
a first-time home buyer as someone who has not owned a principal
residence the past three years prior to the purchase) is
equal to 10 percent of the purchase price (up to a maximum
of $8,000 as the tax credit applies only to homes priced
at $800,000 or less). The tax credit doesn't have to be
repaid unless the home is sold or no longer used as the
buyer's principle residence within three years after the
purchase.
The credit is also valid for current homeowners buying a
replacement principal residence. Eligibility to claim the
tax credit states that the buyers must have owned and lived
in their previous home for five consecutive years out of
the previous eight years. The tax credit is equal to 10
percent of the purchase price (up to a maximum of $6,500
and the tax credit applies only to homes priced at $800,000
or less). The credit is available if the home was purchased
between November 7, 2009 - April 30, 2010. However, the
tax credit will qualify if a binding purchase contract is
signed by April 30, 2010 and escrow closes by June 30, 2010.
The income limits are $125,000 for single taxpayers and
$225,000 for married couples filing joint tax returns. The
tax credit doesn't have to be repaid unless the home is
sold or no longer used as the buyer's principle residence
within three years after the purchase.
With the tax credit deadline looming on April 30, 2010,
historically low interest rates, low home prices, and low
inventory, you may want to consult with a realtor, financial
planner and tax consultant to determine whether or not the
time for homeownership is right for you. Opportunity is
knocking on your future front door, take advantage of it
before it's too late!
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- Doug Hecker 2010
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| Short sale vs. Foreclosure
One delivers a T.K.O. while
the other delivers a Knock Out punch
“Let’s get ready
to rumble!” In today's schizophrenic real estate market,
buyers and sellers may feel like hitting below the waist-line,
head-butting, or biting off a portion of the bank's ear
in hopes that the bank will stop punching when the bell
rings at the end of the round.
Consumers often ask, “what’s the difference
between a short sale and a foreclosure?” The answer
is simple. However, the process is about as similar as Mike
Tyson and Liberace. A short sale is the process by which
a homeowner is selling a piece of property and the debt
is greater than the current market value. Example: Homeowner
“X” purchases a property in August, 2006 for
$500k with 10% down and finances $450k with a three-year
adjustable rate mortgage (A.R.M.). Fast forward to March,
2009 and the property is now worth $250k and the A.R.M.
is due to reset in August, 2009.
What's the problem one might ask? For starters, the home
will not appraise for the $450k that is due because the
home is currently worth $250k, so a re-finance of the property
is nearly impossible. In this case, the homeowner will typically
contact a real estate professional to confirm the value
of the property. Once the bad news has been confirmed the
next step is to contact the bank in hopes that the bank
will modify the loan or allow the A.R.M. to remain at the
original rate, thus allowing the homeowner continued affordability.
However, many banks will allow the homeowner the option
of listing the property as a “short sale” with
a real estate professional at fair market value. Don't be
fooled by the term "short sale” because they
typically take a long time to close escrow (3 - 6 months).
The short sale process begins by listing the property with
a real estate professional at fair market value. Once an
offer has been accepted by the homeowner, the real estate
professional will send the offer to the bank with an estimated
closing statement from a local escrow company, a short sale
package from the homeowner (hardship letter, W2s, bank statements,
financial statements, tax returns, and in some cases a DNA
sample).
Once the bank receives the short sale package a negotiator
is usually assigned to the file, which can take a few months.
The negotiator is responsible for reviewing the file, ordering
a B.P.O. (Broker's Price Opinion - much like an appraisal),
and then typically sends the package to the investor, who
makes the decision to accept, counter-offer, or reject the
offer. Once the bank has issued a written acceptance (be
sure to obtain a copy of the written acceptance), it's off
to the races.
Although escrow has been opened since the homeowner accepted
the offer (months ago), the clock doesn't start ticking
on the buyer's contingency period until the bank issues
written short sale approval (confirm that your real estate
professional added a short sale addendum with the original
offer). The buyer's contingency period is typically 10-14
days after short sale acceptance. Once contingencies (typically
loan and inspection contingencies) have been removed it's
up to your lender (unless it's a cash deal) to fund your
loan, and then the escrow company coordinates with the county
recorder's office to record a deed of trust in the homebuyer's
name, and finally escrow closes and the buyer takes possession
of the property. The pitfalls of a short sale are the length
of time it can take and the possibility that the seller's
credit may be affected depending on how the bank reports
the short sale to the credit agencies.
In the other corner of the ring, standing stout and glaring
at its opponent with no mercy, is the dreaded "F" word (Foreclosure).
This typically takes place when all other avenues have been
exhausted and the homeowner has not made a payment for 90
days or more, which is the catalyst for a bank to issue
an N.O.D. (Notice of Default). Unless the homeowner can
come up with the money owed, the bank will evict the homeowner,
take possession of the property, and then attempt to sell
the property on the court house steps or at an auction.
However, if the bank cannot sell the property on the court
house steps or at an auction it will typically hire an R.E.O.
(Real Estate Owned) real estate professional to list the
property on the M.L.S. (Multiple Listing Service). The pitfalls
of a foreclosure are that it will affect your credit for
7-10 years.
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- Doug Hecker 2009
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| Current market trends and what you need to know
The real estate industry is full if clichés and metaphors, for example: "location, location, location" - "a wave of foreclosures is about to hit the market" - "are we at the bottom of the market?" - "interest rates are the lowest they've been since the Macedonian Period!" These clichés and metaphors are spewed out more frequently than the phrase "Bailout" flashes across the ticker on Fox News, MSNBC and other media conglomerates who attempt to shape our economic thought process and buying habits. The million dollar question: "Is this the right time to buy real estate?" Although we can't look into the future and give an accurate answer to that question, we can look at history and trends. According to Kiplinger's Personal Finance, "It's a good time to snag a bargain if you're confident in your job prospects and you don't plan to sell for at least five years." Over the past decade, real estate lost its way - real estate was typically purchased to have a place to call "home" and raise a family or create lifelong memories. However, when real estate rose faster than a kindergartener's hand when asked by their teacher "who wants a cookie?" real estate became a commodity and the American Dream of owning a home changed overnight to an appreciation feeding frenzy. Consumers thought it was their right to gain 20 percent appreciation year after year until they were ready to sell and retire from the proceeds or refinance with a less risky loan and take cash out for exotic vacations, vehicle and boat purchases, or trips to the local home improvement store where homes were transformed from an outdated and sometimes unlivable dwellings to the neighborhood Taj Mahal. With all of that aside, it does seem like now is a good time to buy real estate. In fact, according to Forbes.com, the number one item on their list of things to buy before the economy improves is housing. "This may be the best time in a generation to buy a home." The Pew research center reported that 75 percent of Americans said it was a "good" or "very good" time to buy (people-press.org). The Wall Street Journal reported that median home prices in the San Francisco Bay Area are up 9.2 percent year-to-date and MSN Money.com/Case Shiller posted the following statistics regarding return on investment from January 1, 2001 through December 31, 2008: The Dow Jones down 19.8 percent, the S&P down 35.2 percent, the Nasdaq down 59.9 percent, and Real Estate up 69.8 percent. I am often told by consumers that they're waiting for the market to go down even more before they decide to buy. However, keep in mind that if homes decrease another 10 percent you'll save $50,000 on a $500,000 purchase, but if interest rates increase by more than 1 percent it will offset the $50,000 you saved on your purchase price and your monthly cost will increase. USA Today is currently estimating that California's excess supply of homes will be substantially depleted and new construction will be needed to meet demand, thus leading to a housing recovery. Over the past six years, 30-year mortgage interest rates have hit historical lows on five different occasions, followed by quick and dramatic increase in rates as reported by the Federal Reserve. Again, one cannot predict the future, but with data and statistics one can be informed and make an educated decision and our market place (especially homes priced under $400,000) is very competitive. Buyers in this price range are often bidding against multiple offers, homes are selling for above asking price, and inventory is very low - all creating a demand for a supply that has decreased dramatically. It is a good time to buy, so contact a real estate professional, get pre-qualified with a loan officer and let the shopping begin!
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- Doug Hecker 2009
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| Real Estate 101 in the first quarter of 2009
This article is an attempt to inject a bit of real estate knowledge into your portfolio and update you on the recent activities that have been taking place in the real estate market. I am often asked, "what's the market doing?" If I answered, "nothing, the sky is falling and we're all doomed - pack your personal belongings, abandon your worthless homes, and start chanting Kum Ba Ya," I'd be misinforming you. It's actually quite the opposite.
The real estate market has changed dramatically compared to a year ago. Many properties in Petaluma, especially homes priced below $400,000, are receiving multiple offers and selling above asking price. Does this mean the real estate market is back to the chaos of that "oh so inflated" market in 2005 - leading the way to another economic meltdown in four years from now? The answer is an emphatic "NO!"
By now we've all heard what the peak of the market was like back in 2005 - when sellers had lottery fever, buyers were signing their names with the alias "Ponzi" (no relation to "The Fonz" from 'Happy Days') and many homeowners were re-financing and pulling out equity faster than the ATM machine in their coat closets could spit out Benjamin Franklin's - the current market is quite different.
For example, obtaining a mortgage loan in the current market is much more sensible (simply breathing no longer gives one the right to obtain a mortgage loan). Buyers actually have to prove they have a realistic and non-inflated income and verification of employment, credit scores need to be closer to a 700 FICO score (in some cases above 700), assets need to be verified, and down payments need to be at least 3.5 percent or more.
Most loans that are originated with less than a 20 percent down payment are subject to PMI (private mortgage insurance) and impound accounts that require money in reserves to pay for property taxes, hazard insurance, and PMI - increasing buyer closing costs and helping to insure that buyers have a monetary stake in their housing investment, which, in theory, will make it more difficult to walk away from.
Another significant difference is the fact that inventory is low, interest rates are historically low and the demand for housing has increased - all signs that point to some sort of recovery in the housing sector. The demand for low-cost housing is definitely greater than the current supply of inventory. Many properties are receiving multiple offers - anywhere from two or three offers on a particular property to more than 20 offers on a single property.
Where are the buyers coming from?: Many buyers who felt they were priced-out of the market in 2005 are taking advantage of low prices, tax credits, and interest rates. Investors are looking for a place to park their cash (prices make sense, as investors are buying properties and able to realize a positive cash-flow), and move-up buyers who didn't want to take on hefty property tax bills due to inflated prices in 2005 are taking advantage of lower home prices coupled with lower property taxes.
How does one compete in this market? The answer is not simple - you may have to write a dozen offers or more before your offer gets accepted. Buyers need to be patient, prepared, and pre-qualified (pre-approved with an underwriter if possible).
I am also often asked, "are we at the bottom of the market?" While we do not have a crystal ball or control what the real estate market is doing, it seems as if the market is at, or close to the bottom and much more stable. It's a good time to buy real estate: prices are low, interest rates are low, you'll gain a tax write-off and pride of ownership, and hopefully in the future a return on your investment
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- Doug Hecker 2009
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